Conflicts in Eastern Chad are traditionally fluid. Individual ambitions, rivalry between sedentary and nomadic groups and/or ethnic communities, the widespread circulation of small arms, the spill-over of the conflict in Darfur and the presence of Chadian and Sudanese rebel forces and militias all contribute to a tense environment. This is compounded by increased pressure on scarce natural resources.
Looking ahead to 2012:
Security of operations by DIS, ANT, GNNT, national Police and Chado-Sudanese Mixed Force.
Humanitarian consequences of erratic rainfall on 2011-2012 farming campaign and harvests.
Persisting epidemic of cholera since 2010.